Tron Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 BUDMAN and TBB 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted November 3, 2022 Author Share Posted November 3, 2022 This is what it would look like If economists designed bathrooms. TBB 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted November 3, 2022 Author Share Posted November 3, 2022 AKA - A depression Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
MikeB Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 On 10/11/2022 at 3:49 PM, Sammy said: Why it debt pronounced 'det' but debit is pronounced exactly as its spelled? The "bt" sound would be a hell of a tongue twister to pronounce !! In todays world even though banks and credit unions are federally insured, what happens when both fail !!!! Your fucked !!! In that situation we will rely on the "Barter" system. Real Estate, precious metals, and of course other tangible items of need will be used. Gold Standard here we come !!! Real Estate (especially farm land) is being bought around here by large corporations and Investment firms at a much higher rate than in the past. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
major-mark63 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 invest in north korean nuclear rockets military !!!! VHS2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
major-mark63 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 its sure we gonna be on a recession. mortgage rates were too much low that lot of family bought out of price houses cause by low cost mortage payments , in 1980'S rate were at 12% when i bought my first house, and for every 1000$ mortgage was a 100$ payment a month, Every expense or aver time money was put on mortgage loan to clear it faster . Now i see a lot of family have out of price house ( for my budget thinking) they go lot of rerstaurant, south trip , huge pickup truck when not needed and complain about gas prices etc , thats what we didint do back in 80'-90s cause of high rate , most ever money was to lower mortgage amount . but still historic economic is making waves up and down.. just be patient ... just my opinion, im not a specialist but im in money investment for 40 yrs now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 Good luck to all the retired idiots out there in the UK. https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/uk-announce-stealth-tax-raid-pensions YACCster and VHS2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
YACCster Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Tron said: Good luck to all the retired idiots out there in the UK. https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/uk-announce-stealth-tax-raid-pensions Hey @RobMc how do you like these apples? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 It’s official. The US Treasury curve is now more than 70% inverted. In the last 50 years of history, every time we have surpassed this threshold a recession followed. We are now at 76% with the Fed still hiking rates and doing QT. YACCster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
TBB Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 6 hours ago, Tron said: It’s official. The US Treasury curve is now more than 70% inverted. In the last 50 years of history, every time we have surpassed this threshold a recession followed. We are now at 76% with the Fed still hiking rates and doing QT. Don't you mean perverted - not inverted??? VHS2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 5, 2022 Author Share Posted December 5, 2022 Seems like a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 (edited) Rate hikes to 5%? Sure Powell…whatever you say. Conditions are primed for a stock market crash this week. Not saying it will happen, but the market is a game of probabilities, and all of the systems I use are pointing to major risk off this week….Fed policy update on Wed will likely move market in a big way. Much bigger downside risk for a negative surprise, than there is for a move up with positive data. NFA and DYOR. Merry Christmas! Edited December 12, 2022 by Tron VHS2 and YACCster 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 13, 2022 Author Share Posted December 13, 2022 Friendly reminder that the current price action in stocks after this morning’s CPI print is still a bear market rally. Don’t get fomo and long a short term top. People forget that inflation does not move in a linear fashion, and that it compounds. Powell will be forced to change his tone tomorrow even if he still plans a 50bps hike as the market expects. Remember what happened after his Jackson Hole speech and presser? I do. YACCster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
YACCster Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 31 minutes ago, Tron said: Friendly reminder that the current price action in stocks after this morning’s CPI print is still a bear market rally. Don’t get fomo and long a short term top. People forget that inflation does not move in a linear fashion, and that it compounds. Powell will be forced to change his tone tomorrow even if he still plans a 50bps hike as the market expects. Remember what happened after his Jackson Hole speech and presser? I do. So what would you recommend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 13, 2022 Author Share Posted December 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, YACCster said: So what would you recommend? Since I know nothing about your individual financial situation, I cannot recommend anything. YACCster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 13, 2022 Author Share Posted December 13, 2022 Agree with this take. Plunging tax receipts will be what eventually requires that the money printer be turned back on. We had record tax receipts in 2021 due to lots of capital gains. In 2022, not so much. Yet Federal budgets and expenditures were based on those inflated tax receipts. (The FedGov never stops growing) These Federal deficits will be monetized, as a hard default is off the table given that the US Dollar is the WRC(for now). YACCster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 13, 2022 Author Share Posted December 13, 2022 Still waiting for the other half of the hand to form on the chart of today’s price action, which will ultimately be the market makers giving the average retail investor the finger. VHS2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 My prediction is that Powell will see his shadow today, and we will have at least 6 more weeks of winter in the S&P 500. NFA/DYOR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Izumi Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 VHS2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
VHS2 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 More interesting than Powell's speech at 2 o'clock, the beginning of the France-Morocco semi-final soccer match 2 hours of summer in Qatar! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 Now that it’s clear the anticipated Fed pivot is off the table…don’t be surprised if we get some big time year end tax loss selling. major-mark63 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
GhostfaceJim Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
TBB Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
Tron Posted December 27, 2022 Author Share Posted December 27, 2022 Remember when 30 year bond yields were sub 3.5%? Good times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Awards
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